Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.544287 0.717860 0.916111 1.156036 1.435310 1.747081 2.118361
2025-03-02 0.286599 0.484979 0.747051 1.103203 1.559703 2.111368 2.814437
2025-03-09 0.173226 0.379911 0.693832 1.164810 1.815537 2.648375 3.760078
2025-03-16 0.091596 0.277799 0.609251 1.159040 1.973910 3.070950 4.593560
2025-03-23 0.056468 0.234200 0.597429 1.249090 2.265648 3.683132 5.702586
2025-03-30 0.031695 0.191897 0.571908 1.308071 2.511972 4.243869 6.767651
2025-04-06 0.015248 0.151390 0.533608 1.334498 2.705373 4.735661 7.755748
2025-04-13 0.004912 0.108382 0.470048 1.300198 2.793845 5.074897 8.540703
2025-04-20 0.001322 0.083176 0.436182 1.312306 2.953594 5.521033 9.485843
2025-04-27 0.000164 0.063716 0.406866 1.325723 3.112443 5.968304 10.442173
2025-05-04 NaN 0.042674 0.356755 1.282581 3.165041 6.250362 11.163497
2025-05-11 NaN 0.026622 0.308084 1.229476 3.190772 6.486502 11.819245
2025-05-18 NaN 0.018110 0.283211 1.230192 3.319982 6.899297 12.760985
2025-05-25 NaN 0.010334 0.247885 1.194648 3.375421 7.193955 13.533685
2025-06-01 NaN 0.008631 0.252613 1.270481 3.655617 7.868348 14.899851
2025-06-08 NaN 0.005157 0.232630 1.270108 3.781166 8.288218 15.884914
2025-06-15 NaN 0.004699 0.244703 1.369052 4.116221 9.069969 17.442968
2025-06-22 NaN 0.003623 0.245782 1.433539 4.382271 9.740853 18.840396
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002284 0.236470 1.462592 4.574590 10.290210 20.057732
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000860 0.209813 1.426574 4.624013 10.593599 20.894449
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000364 0.198218 1.439728 4.780073 11.084967 22.034201
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000118 0.187779 1.454152 4.938568 11.582983 23.190589
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000003 0.163794 1.408277 4.956341 11.830834 23.951075